Theoretical Framework of Empirical Study on Consumer Behavior in Web-Based Commerce

Web-based commerce has brought great challenges and opportunities to companies. To seize the opportunities, the company must work out well-conceived web-based marketing strategy, which, to great extent, relies on the good understanding of consumer behavior in web-based commerce. Based on general theoretical framework of study on consumer behavior and current achievement in this area both oversea and home, the theoretical framework of empirical study on consumer behavior in web-based commerce is put forth. In this theoretical framework, two dependent variables is determined as unplanned purchase and customers’ intention to return, which are affected by two attitudinal variables, i.e. perceived control and shopping enjoyment. The two attitudinal variables are also affected by individual factors and web store factors, which also contain certain sub-factors. At the end of this paper, some suggestions on further study in this field are brought forward as well

Connecting Software Metrics across Versions to Predict Defects

Accurate software defect prediction could help software practitioners allocate test resources to defect-prone modules effectively and efficiently. In the last decades, much effort has been devoted to build accurate defect prediction models, including developing quality defect predictors and modeling techniques. However, current widely used defect predictors such as code metrics and process metrics could not well describe how software modules change over the project evolution, which we believe is important for defect prediction. In order to deal with this problem, in this paper, we propose to use the Historical Version Sequence of Metrics (HVSM) in continuous software versions as defect predictors. Furthermore, we leverage Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), a popular modeling technique, to take HVSM as the input to build software prediction models. The experimental results show that, in most cases, the proposed HVSM-based RNN model has a significantly better effort-aware ranking effectiveness than the commonly used baseline models

Extremely cold and hot temperatures increase the risk of ischaemic heart disease mortality: epidemiological evidence from China.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of extremely cold and hot temperatures on ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality in five cities (Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Wuhan and Guangzhou) in China; and to examine the time relationships between cold and hot temperatures and IHD mortality for each city. DESIGN: A negative binomial regression model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to examine city-specific temperature effects on IHD mortality up to 20 lag days. A meta-analysis was used to pool the cold effects and hot effects across the five cities. PATIENTS: 16 559 IHD deaths were monitored by a sentinel surveillance system in five cities during 2004-2008. RESULTS: The relationships between temperature and IHD mortality were non-linear in all five cities. The minimum-mortality temperatures in northern cities were lower than in southern cities. In Beijing, Tianjin and Guangzhou, the effects of extremely cold temperatures were delayed, while Shanghai and Wuhan had immediate cold effects. The effects of extremely hot temperatures appeared immediately in all the cities except Wuhan. Meta-analysis showed that IHD mortality increased 48% at the 1st percentile of temperature (extremely cold temperature) compared with the 10th percentile, while IHD mortality increased 18% at the 99th percentile of temperature (extremely hot temperature) compared with the 90th percentile. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate that both extremely cold and hot temperatures increase IHD mortality in China. Each city has its characteristics of heat effects on IHD mortality. The policy for response to climate change should consider local climate-IHD mortality relationships

Research on Chaotic Firefly Algorithm and the Application in Optimal Reactive Power Dispatch

Firefly algorithm (FA) is a newly proposed swarm intelligence optimization algorithm. The original version of FA usually traps into local optima like many other general swarm intelligence optimization algorithm. In order to overcome this drawback, the chaotic firefly algorithm(CFA) is proposed. The methods of chaos initialization, chaos population regeneration and linear decreasing inertia weight have been introduced into the original version of FA so as to increase its global search mobility for robust global optimization. The CFA is calculated in Matlab and is examined on six benchmark functions. In order to evaluate the engineering application of the algorithm, the reactive power optimization problem in IEEE 30 bus system is solved by CFA. The outcomes show that the CFA has better performance compared to the original version of FA and PS

Systemic robustness: a mean-field particle system approach

This paper is concerned with the problem of budget control in a large particle system modeled by stochastic differential equations involving hitting times, which arises from considerations of systemic risk in a regional financial network. Motivated by Tang and Tsai (Ann. Probab., 46(2018), pp. 1597{1650), we focus on the number or proportion of surviving entities that never default to measure the systemic robustness. First we show that both the mean-field particle system and its limiting McKean-Vlasov equation are well-posed by virtue of the notion of minimal solutions. We then establish a connection between the proportion of surviving entities in the large particle system and the probability of default in the limiting McKean-Vlasov equation as the size of the interacting particle system N tends to infinity. Finally, we study the asymptotic efficiency of budget control in different economy regimes: the expected number of surviving entities is of constant order in a negative economy; it is of order of the square root of N in a neutral economy; and it is of order N in a positive economy where the budget's effect is negligible.Comment: 33 page

The Impact of Temperature on Mortality in Tianjin, China: A Case-Crossover Design with a Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model

Background: Although interest in assessing the impacts of temperature on mortality has increased, few studies have used a case-crossover design to examine nonlinear and distributed lag effects of temperature on mortality. Additionally, little evidence is available on the temperature–mortality relationship in China or on what temperature measure is the best predictor of mortality

Fault Detection for Wireless Network Control Systems with Stochastic Uncertainties and Time Delays

The fault detection problem is investigated for a class of wireless network control systems which has stochastic uncertainties in the state-space matrices, combined with time delays and nonlinear disturbance. First, the system error observer is proposed. Then, by constructing proper Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, we acquire sufficient conditions to guarantee the stability of the fault detection observer for the discrete system, and observer gain is also derived by solving linear matrix inequalities. Finally, a simulation example shows that when a fault happens, the observer residual rises rapidly and fault can be quickly detected, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method